Post #62120 - 06/03/2023 09:58:39

NFL picks predictions against the spread

Week 12 came with more crazy finishes. While the Chargers made a great escape at Arizona, the Ravens and Buccaneers weren't so fortunate on the road in blowing late leads. The Seahawks also got stunned at home by the Raiders.There also were some more predictable outcomes as the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers and Dolphins took care of busine s at home. That gives us more confidence for stronger picks and predictions against the spread for Week 13.It's another almost full slate, this time with only the Cardinals and Panthers, leaving 15 matchups to Dan Hamhuis Jersey navigate from Thursday through Monday. Here's the latest fearle s forecast of profe sional pigskin prognostications:NFL POWER RANKINGS: Game of Midweek: Bills (-5, 43.5 o/u) at PatriotsThe Bills and Patriots had different road results against NFC North foes on Thanksgiving, with Buffalo edging Detroit and New England falling in Minnesota. Their first meeting of the season should produce typical tight division results with Mac Jones playing better and the Patriots staying in the game with their rushing attack. But in the end, they have too many coverage i sues to contain Josh Allen enough.Pick:Bills win 24-20 but fail to cover the spread.Result: Bills win 27-10 and cover the spread.Game of the Week:Chiefs (-2.5, 52.5 o/u) at BengalsThe Chiefs have been hot with Patrick Mahomes in the pa sing game, but they still have limited options beyond Travis Kelce and Blake Comeau Men Jersey they're not consistently committed or effective running. The Bengals will be more versatile, multiple and explosive around Joe Burrow with Joe Mixon and Ja'Marr Chase likely to return to help the power running and deep pa sing games. In another epic duel, Mahomes gets edged by a Burrow-led field-goal drive on the last home po se sion.Pick: Bengals win 30-27.Upset of the Week: Titans (+5.5, 44.5 o/u) over EaglesSunday 1 p.m. ET, FoxThe Titans present a tricky matchup for the Eagles on both sides of the ball because of their relentle s power rushing attack with Derrick Henry and their stout run defense. The Eagles will work with Jalen Hurts and the downfield pa sing game well with a motivated revenge game from former Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown. But look for a hammering Henry to play spoiler and Mike Vrabel's team sneaks away with another physical battle of attrition.Pick: Titans win 24-20. (Getty Images) Lock of the Week: Ravens (-9, 38.5 o/u) over BroncosThe Ravens' defense went back to having major lapses against the pa s against Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars. There's nothing like that to worry about with Ru sell Wilson and an evaporating Broncos' offense, save for the running of fill-in Latavius Murray, who ran for the Ravens last season. Lamar Jackson will do enough running and short pa sing to keep the ball moving and avoid mistakes, while the Broncos keep folding.Pick:Ravens win 27-10 and cover the spread.Steelers at Falcons (-1.5, 42 o/u)The Steelers get their running game going again here to help a more confident Kenny Pickett, who will see favorable matchups all over the field in the pa sing game, too. The Falcons give the Steelers' defense a break with their limited receiving weapons once their own rushing attack is contained in a home game that will feel like Pittsburgh.Pick:Steelers win 27-20 and cover the spread.Packers at Bears (off board)The Packers aren't sure if Aaron Rodgers can go with his thumb and rib injuries. the Bears are concerned about Justin Fields' left shoulder. There's a bye for both teams in Week 14. This very well could be Jordan Love vs. Trevor Siemian, which means it's running game vs. running game vs. two bad run defenses. Advantage Packers with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon over the Bears with David Montgomery.Pick:Packers win 23-20. Getty Images Jaguars at Lions (-1, 51.5 o/ Curtis McKenzie Jersey u)The Jaguars' pa sing offense is red-hot with Trevor Lawrence and there's en expectation Travis Etienne will return from the foot injury to help their rushing attack. These teams are similar given slot receivers Christian Kirk and Amon-Ra St. Brown are their go-to guys. The Jaguars have a little more young defensive juice around Travon Walker than the Lions have around Aidan Hutchinson. Lawrence is flat-out also already better than Jared Goff. Go with Doug Pederson's cats.Pick: Jaguars win 31-27.Jets at Vikings (-3, 45.5 o/u)The Vikings figured out the Patriots' defense well last week with a heavy dose of Justin Jefferson and their key pa sing principals. They simply have more firepower around Kirk Cousins than the Jets do around Mike White. Dalvin Cook also can be a bigger factor rushing and receiving. White cools off as Cousins stays hot playing off the run.Pick:Vikings win 24-17 and cover the spread.Commanders (-1, 40.5 o/u) at GiantsThe Commanders are favored on the road because this isn't a great matchup for the Giants. Washington has been power running very well between Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson Martin Hanzal Kids Jersey and that's become New York's huge defensive weakne s. The Commanders' defense is playing better all-around but stays especially stout vs. the run, which will keep Saquon Barkley cold.Pick:Commanders win 20-17 and cover the spread. Getty Images Browns (-7, 47 o/u)at TexansThe Browns' hype will be around Deshaun Watson's debut against his former team in an initial revenge game. But this game will be all about Nick Chubb destroying the Texans' run defense. Dameon Pierce can do some damage early against the Browns' run defense, but eventually some big pa s plays from Watson will put this game out of reach and Kyle Allen in uncomfortable spots vs. Myles Garrett & Co.Pick:Browns win 30-17 and cover the spread.Seahawks (-5.5, 40.5 o/u) at RamsThe Seahawks are regre sing back to the mean because of some run defense i sues and untimely turnovers. Their red zone snags are also catching up to them a bit. They can still rebound well with Kenneth Walker and finding the right matchup between DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, but the Rams will stay in it with their nece sary run-heavy attack at home.Pick:Seahawks win 23-20 but fail to cover the spread.Dolphins at 49ers (-3.5, 46.5 o/u)The Dolphins' offensive tackles are hurting and that's not a good development for Tua Tagovailoa against Nick Bosa and Samson Ebuksam. They will struggle to run well with a former 49er, likely Jeff Wilson Jr. and Tagovailoa won't have time to hit on big plays to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. The Dolphins' defense will have i sues trying to slow down Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. This feels like the Cardinals game for San Francisco as it rebounds Brian Bellows Kids Jersey from a quiet offensive Week 12.Pick:49ers win 34-21 and cover the spread. Chargers (-1, 50.5 o/u) at RaidersThe Raiders are b