Post #62141 - 06/03/2023 10:09:39

Justin Herbert vs. Tua Tagovailoa The ke

The 2020 NFL Draft's quarterback cla s is shaping up to be one of the best ever.Joe Burrow has led the Bengals to a Super Bowl. Justin Herbert is setting records through his first three years with the Chargers. Tua Tagovailoa is powering an explosive Dolphins offense. Jalen Hurts is in the MVP discu sion while leading the 11-1 Eagles.MORE:On Sunday, two of those QBs will face off in a "Sunday Night Football" clash of AFC wild-card hopefuls as Herbert and the Chargers host Tagovailoa and the Dolphins.Much of the debate to this point about the 2020 quarterbacks has been on Burrow vs. Herbert. But how does Tagovailoa compare to Herbert amid his breakout 2022 season?Here's what you need to know about comparing the two: Traditional statsLet's start with the stats that everyone looks at when they want to know how players are performing. Here are their career totals entering Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season (category leaders in bold):HerbertStatTagovailoa12,689Pa sing yards7,32689Pa sing TDs4832Interceptions201,179/1,777 (66.3)Comp/att (Comp %)665/995 (66.8)7.1Yards per attempt7.496.3Quarterback rating96.2The career stats are a bit misleading. While both have primarily been starters, Herbert has appeared in 44 games (all starts) while Tagovailoa has played in 33 (31 starts). Naturally, Herbert is going to have an edge in pa sing yards and Brandon Tanev Jersey pa sing touchdowns.Regardle s, few quarterbacks are going to Jamie Oleksiak Jersey surpa s Herbert's general numbers. He trails only Andrew Luck in pa sing yards through the first three seasons of an NFL career (by 268 yards) and only Dan Marino in pa sing touchdowns (by nine). He's likely pa s both before he finishes 2022.MORE:But in terms of rate stats, the two are more comparable than one might think. Tagovailoa, who is praised for his accuracy, has a 0.5-point edge in completion percentage and a 0.3-point advantage in yards per attempt. Herbert has an ever-so-slight advantage in quarterback rating.Still, it's hard to argue against Herbert as having had the better career to this point. Rate stats might prefer Tagovailoa, but that can also be attributed to the ma sive disparity in time on the field Herbert has nearly twice as many pa sing attempts. And with Herbert being the third-youngest quarterback with a 5,000-yard pa sing season (5,014 at age 23 in 2021) and a 4,336-yard season as a rookie in 2020, his consistency as a prolific pa ser keeps him firmly at the top.But what about this year? It's a bit of a different story.HerbertStatTagovailoa3,339Pa sing yards2,85920Pa sing TDs217Interceptions5340/510 (66.7)Comp/att (Comp%)216/317 (68.1)6.5Yards per attempt9.692.3Quarterback rating112.0Herbert has theedge in yardage, but Tagovailoa leads in every other stat. That's despiteTagovailoa mi sing two games with an injury and leaving another game early with a concu sion.It's not just Herbert whom Tagovailoa leads, either. Tagovailoa leads the league in yards per attempt and quarterback rating. He's sixth in pa sing touchdowns. Herbert is fourth in pa sing yards.Part of what makes Herbert's season impre Yanni Gourde Kids Jersey sive is the fact he has found succe s despite injuries to his top weapons. Miami's Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are the only teammates in the top five in receiving yards (1,379 and 972, respectively); Los Angeles' top receiver is Josh Palmer, who is 33rd with 612. Running back Austin Ekeler ranks 45th at 564 and Mike Williams is 54th with 510. The Chargers are tied with the Packers for most 300-yard receivers on a team with six each, , while the Dolphins have only three (Trent Sherfield joins Hill and Waddle).MORE: Tagovailoa has emerged as a sleeper in the NFL MVP discu sion, though his mi sed time has made that path more difficult. Herbert has put together a standout stat line despite the injuries to his supporting cast. There's no disputing which quarterback has had the better 2022.Advanced statsThere are plenty of other ways to measure quarterback effectivene s than traditional pa sing stats. ProFootballFocus, Football Outsiders and rbsdm have developed advanced metrics for quarterback play that help to account for situational pa sing and overall value of players. , there is a flip of the script between careers and 2022 performances between the two quarterbacks. Tagovailoa earned grades of 65.4 and 68.3 in his first two years, while Herbert was at 79.9 and 90.0. This season, Tagovailoa is third in the league at 90.4 while Herbert is 12th at 76.4.Despite earning plenty of praise for his accuracy, Tagovailoa has had i sues with turnover-worthy plays. Per PFF, 4 percent of his plays have been turnover-worthy compared to just 1.8 percent for Herbert. Even this year, those differences are stark (3.4 percent for Tagovailoa, 1.5 percent for Herbert). When it comes to big-time throws, Herbert has the better career rate (4 percent to 3 percent) while Tagovailoa owns the 2022 edge (4.5 Calle Jarnkrok Men Jersey percent to 3.2 percent).WEEK 14 NFL PICKS: | Much has been made about Tagovailoa's arm strength, or lack thereof, particularly when compared with Herbert's howitzer. But this season, Tagovailoa has been both the more prolific and effective deep-ball pa ser. He is second in the league with a deep pa sing grade of 94.8, while Herbert is ninth at 86.5. Of Tagovailoa's total pa s attempts, 12.9 percent have been deep (10th in the league) while Herbert's 10.2 percent ranks 18th.But Herbert has also faced much more pre sure this season than Tagovailoa. Herbert is tied for the eighth-highest pre sure rate (37 percent) among qualifying quarterbacks, per PFF, while Tagovailoa ranks second at 24.2 percent, trailing only Tom Brady's 19.4 percent. When facing pre sure, Tagovailoa has a PFF pa sing grade of 64.2 (third), while Herbert is at 59.0 (12th).How about defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) Here's where the QBs have finished or stand in each of their three years:HerbertYearTagovailoa10.2% (11th)2020-8.5% (26th)17.4% (6th)2021-0.7% (18th)-3.1% (21st)202240. Jordan Eberle Women Jersey 6% (1st)Herbert's ma sive drop-off in 2022 contrasts starkly with the immediate ascension of Tagovailoa, who has been the league's best quarterback by DVOA by a wide margin (Patrick Mahomes is second at 26.7 percent).MORE:How about adjusted expected points added per play (adjusted EPA per play) and completion percentage over expectation (CPOE), ? For their careers, Herbert ranks 14th in EPA+CPOE (.104), ninth in adjusted EPA per play (.163) and 19th in CPOE (-0.2) among QBs with at least 1,000 plays, per rbsdm. Tagovailoa checks in at 11th in EPA+CPOE (.110), 13th in adjusted EPA per play (.150) and 11th in CPOE (1.8).Those career numbers show quarterbacks that are pretty close acro s the board. They're not so close in 2022 stats.HerbertS